Manishi Raychaudhuri, ED of UBS Securities is of the opinion that the markets are trading around 15.5-16 times one-year forward earnings. "The markets has not fallen below 15 times earnings in past corrections. However, we see another 10% correction. The Sensex can go down to 14,000."
Boy,what a gloomy picture !But then, on the other hand,what better time to buy for the long-term ? As Warren Buffet said,"Be Fearful When Others Are Greedy and Greedy When Others Are Fearful."
When the stock price starts to decline, the amateur investors start selling their investments at very low prices, which gives all the seasoned investors a chance to buy back their investments that they originally sold to the amateur investors when the market was at a peak, now at very low prices. This is one of the many reasons why the rich get richer and the poor get poorer.
| I'm loaded. It's official. I'm the 429,712,644 richest person on earth! How rich are you? >> |
Sunday, June 8, 2008
A further downside ? Is that good or bad ?
Thursday, May 8, 2008
More Downside in the Market?
Ajay Bagga, CEO of Lotus Asset Management,is of the view that markets are likely to trade volatile in the short-term with more risks on the downside. “As global cues improve, you could see pretty good returns coming back in the Indian markets.”
He feels investors should wait and watch, see how the growth trend in global economies plays out and if there is a sharper reduction in growth before investing.
Monday, May 5, 2008
Don’t buy now, book profits: Amit Nalin Secs
Source : IMW/CNBC-TV18
According to Amit Dalal of Amit Nalin Securities, this is not the time to buy stocks but to book profits.He feels that "May will not be a strong month, it will remain a weak month. He is asking advisors to continue selling in May and go away.
Sunday, May 4, 2008
The Simple Rupee:Balance Sheet,a useful tool
1. The Balance Sheet is a very important source for helping you gauge your need for Life Insurance.If you've read my previous article ,you will recollect my having written about liabilities (what you owe).No one would like to pass on the burden of outstanding debts to their loved ones.This is where the Balance Sheet can help you decide the quantum of Life Insurance you should have so that your loved ones are left with enough to clear the debts as well as live comfortably in the event of any untoward incident.
2. The Balance Sheet can help you allocate your investments properly so that you get a decent rate of return (more than what the banks,NSCs and GOI Bonds have to offer!).
3. The Balance Sheet can help you plan for your retirement.Unless you know what is coming in and what is going out,how are you going to know how much to save towards your retirement goal?
4.Planning your Will:You need to know what your assets are before you decide what you want done with them.
5.Moving towards your goals:If you get into the habit of preparing annual balnce sheets and comparing these with the previous year's totals,you can assess how much closer you are to your goal(s).You can make the necessary adjustments when required.
I do not claim to be a financial advisor.Please don't construe this as financial advice.But as I said in the beginning,there may be someone who gains a new insight into their finances through my journey.
First published by me on my blog :ALL THINGS GOOD
Thursday, May 1, 2008
The Simple Rupee:Gathering Data
In this article,I will discuss one of the most important steps in Financial Planning:
Gathering Data.What this means is that you need to know what is coming in and what is going out.One of the best tools to record this is a Balance Sheet.This is a list of everything you own (your ASSETS) and everything you owe (your LIABILITIES).This is like a snapshot of your financial picture.This changes in every moment of time.Moreover,it can also help in giving you an idea of where you stand and where you will be in the near or distant future.Your Balance Sheet gives you your NET WORTH (Assets-Liabilities).This can either be a positive or a negative figure.Of course,everyone would love to have the former!An example of what can be listed in Assets :
1.All the cash you have right now.
2. All the money in your Savings Accounts.
3. The cash value of your life insurance policies.
INVESTED ASSETS.For eg.
1.Stocks and Mutual Funds.
2.GOI Bonds.
3. Pension Funds.
Other assets like.1.Your home2.Property3.Vehicles4.Personal property5.Antiques,paintings,works of art.
LIABILITIES may include:
1.Loans of all kinds
2.Credit card debts
This is by no means an exhaustive list of assets and liabilities.I have given examples of what you will commonly find in a balance sheet.Once you list out your assets and liabilities in a balance sheet in two columns,it becomes easier to assess your Net Worth.In my next article,I will try and explain how useful a Balance Sheet can be as a tool in your Financial Planning.
Wednesday, April 23, 2008
The Simple Rupee:Establishing Financial Goals
In my previous article,I had wtitten about the six- step process for Financial Planning. I will be taking up each step separately and will elaborate some more on each step.My endeavour is to present this in an easy -to- understand manner.Though the process of Financial Planning is applicable to all,I would like to direct these articles especially to the younger lot who are just setting out on the path to financial freedom.Savings is definitely not the primary focus in our lives when we think we have our whole life ahead of us!But let me tell you that attaining financial 'nirvana' is far easier when you start early."When you keep saying you will do it tomorrow,then your tomorrow will never come."Let's begin with the first step:
Establishing Financial Goals.All of us have different desires.It is important to identify your desires and financials goals.What are you saving for?Could it be for,
1. College education
2. Marriage
3. Buying a house
4. Travelling the world
5. An emergency fund
6. That laptop you've always wanted?
I don't know what your desire is but if you have to chart a course from point A to point B, you need a map.Similarly,if you have a financial goal,you need to be more specific than merely saying,"I want to be rich."You must quantify your goal in rupee amounts and time frames."I want a million bucks by the time I'm twenty-five is more specific !The main thing is,you need to have a vision of where you want to be or you will probably never get there.
I end this article with a quote from Ralph Waldo Emerson,Shallow men believe in luck;Wise men in cause and effect.
Tuesday, March 25, 2008
The Simple Rupee
Too often,we postpone sober sounding tasks like financial planning.It's easy to postpone financial planning indefinitely sometimes forever.When you keep saying tomorrow will be right to begin,it never comes.Let me tell you,you are not alone. Statistics confirm that we are spending more and saving less more than any time in our
history.
Solid financial planning gives us the pride to make things happen NOW not tomorrow,or someday or perhaps,never.It is about imagining
our own future instead of letting others imagine it for us.It is about taking control of our own financial destiny.Learnng to talk the language of money doesn't make you materialistic.It only makes you wise.
Financial planning is a process.I wish I could say it is easy.But one thing is certain;if
you have a plan and prepare yourself,the results will be better than doing
nothing at all. Since you are reading my article,I assume you are serious about
your financial future.
Broadly speaking,the process involves the following steps,
1.Having a financial goal-John D. Rockefeller once said,"The only question with
wealth is what you do with it."You must know where you are headed.
2. Collecting data - you must know where you stand now.
3. Analysing the data - what is missing from the big financial picture?
4. Creating a financial plan - how do you get to where you want to be?
5. Setting your plan in motion - get the ball rolling.
6. Following it up - in my opinion,the toughest step in the six part process.
In my next article,I will take up each step separately.
Did you like this article?Do let me know.
Disclaimer:I do not claim to be a
financial advisor.Please don't construe this as financial advice.But as I said
in the beginning,there may be someone who gains a new insight into their
finances through my journey.
ps.this article was first published by me on my blog ALL THINGS GOOD